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2024-12-14 12:34:55

Today, the market suddenly fell in volume, which caught everyone off guard. Many friends are still at a loss at the moment and don't know how to deal with it. If we can't grasp the key points of trends and turning points, we will inevitably lose our way like headless flies, hit a wall everywhere and let ourselves fall into unnecessary passivity. The purpose of our analysis is to help you see the current trend clearly and face the short-term complex trend calmly. Today's plunge has made everyone nervous again, so will the market continue to adjust next week? Or stop falling and rebound? Let's make a detailed analysis below, hoping to help everyone.Statement of works: The contents are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice.At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.


Nine departments issued "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for Chinese-style Endowment Service for High-quality Development of Silver-haired Economy"The latest voice of the central bankAs for whether it will fall below the support of the lower rail, there is this possibility, but at present, the index is still a long way from the support below. Combined with the high-level statement, I think this possibility is relatively small at present, so there is no need to worry in advance. Let's take it one step at a time.


Don't wait, there will be no accidents next week.In addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.

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